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REPORTS

Dubai: Don’t be Down Q4

The recent debates over the performance of the real estate market is partly attributed to the lens at which the data is being analyzed.

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“Dubai: The Times They are a Changing”

Over the last four years there has been a paradigm shift in the structure of transaction activity in the Dubai real estate market.

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Vox Populi: From Balconé to Cucina

When scouting for new dwellings to live a preference that continues to arise is that of a fully closed kitchen, especially from families of the sub-continent .

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Brexit: Much Ado About Nothing-Q3

The impact of the ‘Brexit’ event will be played out over the next few years on a global stage that will continue to push markets in unexpected ways.

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Financialization and its discontents Q2

Talks of a Dubai debt crunch resurfaced during the oil crash, but appear to be exaggerated when compared to the rest of the world

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Dubai: The War of the Villas

As the fears of a redux of the 2008 crash permeate through the ecosystem, a closer examination of the fundamentals at play suggests that ‘this time is different’

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Dubai: The War of the Villas

A breakdown of the pricing structure of the horizontal market (mansion, villas and townhouses) in 2005 reveals that 85% of units in freehold areas were below the 2 million mark

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Psychology of Off-Plan-Q2

For the long term investor, apart from locational benefits, the raison d’etre for investments in off plan real estate is the extent of discount that is being offered relative to the ready market

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Dubai: A Room with a View - Q2

In Dubai a granular analysis reveals that units with a ‘view’ of a landmark or a body of water trade at a premium

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Dubai: The Zeitgeist of ‘Animal Spirits’

One of the major events that ignited ‘animal spirits’ was the build up to the win of the World Expo 2020

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For Whom the Oil Tolls

An analysis across multiple countries reveals that there is a correlation between oil prices and the performance of the real estate sector

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The Theory of the Leisure Class: A Look into Emirates Hills

A look into the most prestigious community in Dubai, Emirates Hills, reveals that its plot prices have out-performed any other real estate product by a factor of nearly 3x

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Dubai: Price, Premia, and Profit

A look back at Dubai’s supply pipeline since the advent of freehold reveals that government sponsored developers

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All the Returns we Cannot See

Returns from a real estate investment is derived from two basic components (i) capital appreciation and (ii) rental returns

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Dubai: Lion in Winter

The expansive fiscal policy adopted by the Dubai government is inline with the current infrastructure boom that is underway

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Building Cycles: Growth and (in)stability

Real estate price cycles have four distinctive phases (i) recovery, (ii) expansion, (iii) hyper supply and (iv) recession

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Dubai: The Tautology of Supply

In the first three quarters of 2015 a total number of 9,043 units were completed

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Follow the Money

As Dubai enters the phase known as the ‘new normal’ and irrational exuberance vanishes, transactional activity in certain communities are down more than 40% from the peak of 2013.

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The Mystery and Variety of Mid-Income Housing

A bifurcation of the housing stock against the population demographics reveals a 5 times higher concentration in leasehold compared to freehold areas

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Mansions and Maisonettes:

A dissection of Dubai’s horizontal living space reveals that existing supply is heavily skewed towards the villa segment (63%) versus townhouses (32%) and mansions (5%).

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Curvology - Q3

A square foot rate analysis of Dubai reveals that the general trend is downward curve, where studio’s are the most expensive

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Size Matters - Q3

An analysis across both the villa and apartment segment, shows an up to 20% reduction in sizes between existing supply and new project launches.

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Tomorrowland

Real Estate has historically contributed 1/4th of Dubai’s GDP (Construction & Real Estate services), making it an essential component of its growth trajectory and engine for job creation.

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Dollars and Sense

After a decade of finding bargains in real estate markets against the backdrop of a secular weak US Dollar, foreign investors in the last year have faced the prospect of sharply higher housing prices...

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The Curious Case of Payment Plans Q3

A plethora of exogenous and endogenous factors have led to a fall of transactional activity in the real estate market, consequently leading to a city-wide fall in prices.

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Dubai: The Signal and the Noise

An analysis of Dubai’s real estate market reveals a cornucopia of indicators that are used to indicate buy/sell signals

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Dubai: Killing Them Softly - Q2

As residential prices in the secondary market begin to dip due to the discounted offers in the primary market, developers will...

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The Ramadan Phenomena

The Ramadan phenomena is a long held belief that transactional activity for both the real estate and the equity markets plummet.

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Dubai: Sell in May and Go Away

A bivariate analysis of transactional activity and price action suggest that the best month to buy a property is in October through ...

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DUBAI: THE METRO EFFECT

In developed countries, there have been mixed findings on the metro rail effects, and effects have been felt over a long term (20 years) on real estate prices.

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Renter’s Ball: The Dynamics of the Tenancy Market in Dubai

Rents and prices have been strongly correlated; recent weaknesses in prices have now filtered into the rental market; we believe that...

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Dubai: Path to Symbiosis

This report dissects the structure and internal dynamics of Dubai Marina, as its importance for one of the hot spots for external investors grows

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Dubai: Boom-Bust-ology

This report tackles the boom-bust scenario of Dubai real estate, focusing on the population and supply as primary factors for growth.

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Dubai: Is Commercial Realty
Commercially Viable?

This report highlights the shift in trends in commercial real estate of Dubai.

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Dubai: Shocks, Shifts & a Return to First Principles

Recent exogenous shocks in the oil and currency markets have led to concerns about the resultant ripple effects that already have and will continue to reverberate throughout the real estate market.

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Dubai: The Hunt for Yields' Q4

As real estate asset prices in Dubai stabilise and start to trend lower in certain areas, the emirate has entered the 'new normal' with investors beginning to hunt for stable rental returns.

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Dubai: Amidst a Slowdown, Q4

This reports shows a granular analysis of the structure of Dubai's real-estate market; breaking it down by unit sizes.

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Dubai: Where to build ? - Q4

This report provides an in-depth study of where to build in Dubai, taking into accounts factors such as Q Ratio, Supply, and Activity.

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Dubai: The Cityscape Effect - Q3

A statistical analysis reveals that on a three month rolling return basis between Cityscape 2004 and Cityscape 2013, had led to show that there is no relationship between Cityscape and asset prices.

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Dubai: Real Estate Value Guide - Q3

This report gives a community-wise account of the performance of Dubai real estate market, taking into account price appreciation, yields, and supply dynamics.

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Dubai: The New Normal - Q3

Interest rates have a profound impact on real estate prices and rental yields as it effects the capital‐flow, thus influencing the ability of home-owners and investors to purchase assets.

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Dubai: The Paradox Of Affordable

The paradox of affordable housing is when communities start off affordable but then transgress into the higher‐end of the price range.

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Dubai: A Tale Of Two Markets - Q3

This report analyzes the trends of affordable housing versus trophy properties, and how dynamics have shifted due to the supply and demand mismatch a reversal of roles has transpired.

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Dubai: Trophy buying Phenomena - Q2

A price analysis reveals that on average trophy properties have outperformed the market giving credence to the prevalence of the trophy buying phenomena.

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Dubai: The Road Ahead

This report highlights the correlation between transactions and prices, where the former is a leading indicator. It also gives an community-wise analysis of the velocity and transactional value of Dubai.

May,01,2014
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Buy Land Where The City Ends

This reports highlights the superior growth rates of land as an asset class, compared to ready units. Furthermore, it also discusses the demographic shift from leasehold to freehold Dubai.

March,20,2014
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A Closer Look into 2013

This reports highlights the events of 2013, giving an in-depth community-wise analysis of price and rental performance. It also discusses the supply and dynamics metrics in the apartment and villa segment.

Feb,02,2014
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Dubai: What Now ?

An in-depth dissection into the demand and supply dynamics of Dubai's housing market in regards to price and rental growths. This report also tackles where to find deep-value.

November, 2013
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Dubai: If You Build It They Will Come Q3 2013

An analysis of the two-teired hypothesis between the Sheikh Zayed Corridor and the Muhammad bin Zayed Corridor.

Sep, 2013
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Dubai: The City is Built Upon it's Commerce

A in-depth study of the demand drivers on Dubai's commercial property market as it follows trends in more developed nations.

March, 2013
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Dubai's Road to Prosperity 2013

A granular analysis of Dubai's Residential market as it transforms from an investor dominated market to a home-owner society.

Feb, 2013
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Dubai's Reversal of Fortune 2012

A walk-through of Dubai's Real Estate market from its value discovery phase till its road of recovery in 2012.

Jan, 2013
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